Middle East Conflict Disrupts China's Seafood Shipping! After Salmon Price Hikes, Are More Import/Export Links Being Affected?
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2026 Squid Trade Data and Risk Observation Report
China Market Seafood Import and Export Trade Data
After multiple Middle Eastern countries closed their airspace, air transport was the first to show chain reactions.
Some cargo flights from Europe to Asia have been cancelled or rerouted, and cold-chain goods originally transiting through hubs such as Doha, Dubai and Abu Dhabi have begun to pile up. Fresh chilled salmon was the first to reflect the change, with prices at some domestic wholesale markets raised by 10-15 yuan/kg in a short period.
The pace of arrivals is being disrupted.
A common route for European salmon entering the Chinese market is a direct flight from the place of origin to a Gulf hub, then transfer to major Chinese cities. This model relies on high-frequency flights and stable connections. Once the transit link is interrupted, the transport cycle that originally took about 48 hours is forced to extend. Goods need to wait for new space arrangements, the original arrival batches are split, and market supply changes from "continuous" to "intermittent."
Chilled products are highly time-sensitive. Extended transport means increased risk of spoilage, and also means the import cost structure must be recalculated. Wholesale prices adjusted first, becoming the most direct feedback from the market.
Among imported seafood, European chilled products are the most obviously affected.
For salmon from producing regions such as Norway, the Faroe Islands and Scotland, some transport routes involve Gulf transit. Premium Nordic fish such as those from Iceland face a similar situation. After flights were reduced, capacity has concentrated on a few available routes, space booking times have lengthened, and freight rates face upward pressure.
At the same time, the market has begun comparing transport routes for other import sources.
South American and Southeast Asian products are mainly shipped by sea. Products such as Ecuadorian white shrimp, Indian frozen shrimp, Vietnamese basa fish and Indonesian squid enter the market through regular sea routes from Asia to China. Main routes are currently operating normally, and no obvious abnormalities have appeared in port operations. The supply rhythm of such products is relatively stable in the short term.
Some Russian products enter China by land or direct Far East routes; Chilean salmon is mostly shipped by direct flight or via the Americas; Canadian lobster largely uses the North American direct-flight model. Their dependence on Gulf airspace is relatively low, and no obvious transport changes have appeared for the time being.
Beyond air transport, attention on the export side is rising.
For aquatic products China exports to Middle Eastern countries, including frozen shrimp, tilapia, squid and some processed products, transport routes involve Persian Gulf ports. If regional shipping insurance rates rise or shipping schedules are adjusted, delivery times will change. Some export contracts need to reconfirm loading dates and port arrival cycles.
The Europe direction depends on the operating conditions of the Red Sea route. If ships choose to detour, the voyage from Asia to Europe will lengthen, cold-chain transport time will increase, and export enterprises will need to re-match production rhythm with delivery windows. Orders originally executed according to fixed shipping schedules may see cycle adjustments.
Fluctuations in energy prices have also begun to enter cost calculations. Fuel price changes are usually transmitted to logistics quotations through air and sea surcharges. If oil prices remain high, air and ocean transport costs will move upward, and profit margins at both the import and export ends will be affected.
Air freight capacity is shrinking, sea freight is watching, and costs are changing.
The fluctuation in salmon prices is the part where changes in the transport structure first became visible.
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